tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-274996162024-03-07T21:05:52.298+00:00largameJoao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.comBlogger149125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-64988722959241235982011-06-02T18:07:00.001+01:002011-06-03T17:35:23.645+01:00o momento a que chegamosDeixo um artigo do Paul Krugman, Nobel da economia em 2008, resumido e descodificado da sua linguagem económica. Acho que é um artigo muito importante para compreender a situação onde chegamos e as opções para o futuro. E é claro que a verdade não se resume a isto e existem outras leituras válidas além desta.<br />
<br />
Can Europe be saved?<br />
<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/16/magazine/16Europe-t.html?_r=2&pagewanted=all">http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/16/magazine/16Europe-t.html?_r=2&pagewanted=all</a><br />
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resumo:<br />
i) introdução do caminho até aqui<br />
ii) a questão do euro: vantagens/desvantagens<br />
iii) as opções da UE até agora (o falhanço da austeridade)<br />
iv) as opções para Portugal<br />
v) conclusão<br />
<br />
<b>i) introdução do caminho até aqui</b><br />
Grande parte do problema económico (e da resposta ao problema) que vivemos está relacionado com o euro. <br />
<i>Problema nº1</i> - "Europe lacked the institutions needed to make a common currency workable" - a adopção do Euro não foi acompanhada dos mecanismos necessários ao seu sucesso, como um fundo de apoio aos países deficitários e um BCE capaz de emprestar dinheiro directamente aos estados membros.<br />
<br />
<i>Problema nº2</i> - antes do euro, países como Portugal, Grécia, Itália não tinham acesso a empréstimos baratos porque as suas moedas não davam garantias - como tinham maior risco associado, pagavam juros mais altos, logo pediam menos emprestado. com a entrada no euro, passaram a ter acesso a empréstimos mais baratos (com taxas de juro mais baixas), porque a sua moeda era avaliada como mais estável. Logo como tinham acesso a empréstimos mais baratos, recorriam muito mais ao crédito, endividando-se para resolver problemas de curto prazo, adiando os custos para mais tarde em vez de tomar medidas reformadoras e estruturantes para resolver os problemas internos (porque essas medidas não trazem votos e os empréstimos permitiam continuar uma falsa "prosperidade")<br />
É importante notar que:<br />
- a situação dos países não é homogénea. enquanto por exemplo na Grécia a dívida acumulada é responsabilidade de governos gastadores, em Portugal a dívida é em maior parte responsabilidade dos privados (empresas e particulares)<br />
- estes empréstimos não aconteceram inocentemente: foram financiados por grandes bancos europeus alemães, ingleses, franceses, que lucraram quantias obscenas com estes empréstimos (e até os bancos portugueses: basicamente, como o BCE está impedido legalmente de emprestar ao Banco de Portugal, os BES/BCP/BPI pediam emprestado ao BCE a +- 1% para depois emprestar ao Banco de Portugal a 5/6%); <br />
<br />
<i>Problema nº3</i> - a crise de 2008, que além de uma depressão do consumo e um aumento do desemprego teve um novo factor, a apropriação dos Estados da dívida dos Bancos, cobrindo as suas perdas na crise:<br />
"there were the costs of financial clean-up. These have been especially crippling in Ireland, where banks ran wild in the boom years. When the bubble burst, the solvency of Irish banks was immediately suspect. In an attempt to avert a massive run on the financial system, Ireland’s government guaranteed all bank debts — saddling the government itself with those debts, bringing its own solvency into question." <br />
Tal como a Irlanda, Portugal garantiu a solvência dos Bancos, garantindo os depósitos que estes deveriam ser capazes de garantir mas não o eram devido a incumprimentos legais, e assumindo as suas dívidas - ver caso BPN. Isto resulta da forma como o sistema financeiro americano resolveu a sua crise financeira: em vez de uma reforma séria, o mercado "livre" em que as empresas e o mercado funcionam individualmente de forma a que o interesse colectivo seja assegurado, livre para ter sucesso ou falhar, passou a ser: livre, excepto quando as empresas que falirem forem demasiado importantes, nesse caso o Estado assume as perdas e entra com o dinheiro.<br />
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<b>ii) a questão do euro</b><br />
<i>vantagens: </i><br />
- "The advantages of a single European currency were obvious. No more need to change money when you arrived in another country; no more uncertainty on the part of importers about what a contract would actually end up costing or on the part of exporters about what promised payment would actually be worth. Meanwhile, the shared currency would strengthen the sense of European unity."<br />
<i>desvantagens:</i><br />
- perda de flexibilidade económica - para fazer face a uma crise económica (maior desemprego, menor consumo) era possível antes do euro reduzir o valor da moeda. Isso permitia que as importações ficassem mais baratas para os outros países (vendiamos mais) e as exportações ficassem mais caras (gastavamos menos), o que permitia ultrapassar de certa forma (temporária) a crise. A outra opção é diminuir os salários e controlar a inflação (diminuir consumo interno), mas como é muito mais difícil de ser aceite pela população, o que acontecia era que se recorria às desvalorizações da moeda para combater as crises (que de facto diminuía os salários sem as pessoas se darem conta disso). É preciso ver que nenhuma destas medidas permitia combater os problemas de uma crise sem ser a curto prazo, exactamente devido a uma incapacidade de reforma do sistema capitalista, mas se calhar o momento em que nos encontramos é capaz de ser suficientemente grave para isso acontecer.<br />
"Won’t workers reject de facto wage cuts via devaluation just as much as explicit cuts in their paychecks? Historical experience says no. Friedman argued, adjusting your currency’s value solves the coordination problem when wages and prices are out of line, sidestepping the unwillingness of workers to be the first to take pay cuts."<br />
<br />
<b>iii) as opções da UE até agora (o falhanço da austeridade)</b><br />
A austeridade não funciona para solucionar crises económicas, muito menos com economias sujeitas a pressões do endividamento crescente:<br />
- "the collision between deflating incomes and unchanged debt can greatly worsen economic downturns. Suppose the economy slumps, for whatever reason: spending falls and so do prices and wages. But debts do not, so debtors have to meet the same obligations with a smaller income; to do this, they have to cut spending even more, further depressing the economy"<br />
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4 cenários: "As I see it, there are four ways the European crisis could play out (and it may play out differently in different countries). Call them toughing it out; debt restructuring; full Argentina; and revived Europeanism."<br />
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<i>1) toughing it out - o exemplo báltico (austeridade extrema)</i><br />
As economias em causa (periféricas) podem ganhar credibilidade junto dos credores (e juros mais baixos) se mostrarem suficiente capacidade de sofrimento e de "apertar o cinto". Seguir políticas fiscais muito austeras, grandes cortes em medidas sociais, promover uma grande diminuição dos salários e contracção da despesa - leva a que os mercados diminuam o risco de incumprimento associado a estes países. <br />
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"All of this has, however, come at immense cost: the Baltics have experienced Depression-level declines in output and employment. It’s true that they’re now growing again, but all indications are that it will be many years before they make up the lost ground."<br />
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<i>2) debt restructuring - reestruturação/renegociação da dívida</i><br />
O que significa? Significa pedir prazos mais alargados, significa aceitar que não vamos conseguir pagar o que temos que pagar dentro dos prazos estipulados e às taxas exigidas. Significa compreender que estar a pagar juros para pagar juros para pagar juros é insustentável, é adiar (ou piorar) o problema, e temos um exemplo claro que como não funciona - a Grécia neste momento é o que Portugal será daqui a um ano se aceitar o plano da troika, e o pior de tudo é que a solução proposta na Grécia para combater o falhanço da austeridade é a austeridade extrema. Renegociação da dívida significa também aceitar que não vamos pagar parte do que já pedimos emprestados, logo teremos que procurar outras fontes de financiamento: além de emitir títulos de dívida pública nacionais (como os certificados de aforro) e promover a poupança interna, é também possível recorrer a outros países (Brasil,...) como a Argentina fez com a Venezuela, outros países disposto a emprestar dinheiro a juros mais baixos e sem uma agenda política atrás. Significa também renegar parte da dívida privada, aceitar que realmente não temos que ser responsáveis pelas dívidas dos bancos privados.<br />
<br />
"Such a debt restructuring would by no means end a troubled economy’s pain. Take Greece: even if the government were to repudiate all its debt, it would still have to slash spending and raise taxes to balance its budget"<br />
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<i>3) full Argentina - exemplo islandês</i><br />
"The European country that has come closest to doing an Argentina is Iceland, whose bankers had run up foreign debts that were many times its national income. Unlike Ireland, which tried to salvage its banks by guaranteeing their debts, the Icelandic government forced its banks’ foreign creditors to take losses, thereby limiting its debt burden."<br />
<br />
Aqui Krugman considera a hipótese de um país simplesmente não pagar a sua dívida externa. Tal como a Islândia, que recusou-se a pagar a dívida privada dos seus bancos e dessa forma . Mas a Islândia fez outra coisa que nós não podemos: desvalorizou a sua moeda para assim diminuir o poder de compra e diminuir o consumo. No fundo, o isolamento escolhido pela Islândia permitiu-lhe evitar um grande desemprego e decréscimo da economia, mas também foi forçada a uma diminuição real dos salários (mas neste caso já estariam falsamente elevados). Só que Portugal não pode desvalorizar a moeda, nem realmente sair do Euro - qualquer hipótese de isso acontecer seria desastrosa, pois levaria a uma corrida aos bancos, um quase-colapso do sistema económico como aconteceu na argentina e uma recessão que duraria vários anos:<br />
"any euro-zone country that even hinted at leaving the currency would trigger a devastating run on its banks, as depositors rushed to move their funds to safer locales. (...) this “procedural” obstacle to exit made the euro irreversible."<br />
<br />
<i>4) revived Europeanism - e-bonds (obrigações europeias)</i><br />
Uma outra hipótese é exigir um novo rumo por parte da UE, que teria que passar por uma maior ajuda - afinal não se trata apenas dos mais ricos pagarem os erros dos mais pobres. Trata-se também de os mais pequenos estarem a sofrer as consequências da ganância dos países mais ricos, da forma como estes resolveram a crise financeira de 2008 cobrindo os erros dos seus bancos, da sua falta de regulamentação - enfim, como os países mais ricos têm vivido acima das suas possibilidades. Essa ajuda poderia passar pela criação de obrigações europeias. Estas seriam garantidas pela UE como um todo, logo estariam sujeitas a menores juros (menos arriscadas que empréstimos de países individuais), seriam uma forma de ajudar países em dificuldades.<br />
<br />
"Since these bonds would be guaranteed by the European Union as a whole, they would offer a way for troubled economies to avoid vicious circles of falling confidence and rising borrowing costs. On the other hand, they would potentially put governments on the hook for one another’s debts" <br />
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<b>v) conclusão</b><br />
<br />
Visto que a saída do euro é impossível, seria demasiado desastrosa a nível económico, e visto que não o seria apenas para o país que o fizesse mas também para o resto dos países da zona euro, porque a partir do momento que um país abandonasse o euro provavelmente seguiriam-se outros, e isso seria também desastroso para os países que não abandonassem o euro porque a moeda iria perder confiança, Portugal tem que jogar com isso. E visto que a salvação da economia dos países em perigo não pode passar pela via da ultra-austeridade (que só daqui a 30 anos terá resultados e que só protege as economias mais fortes da europa), terá que ser feita através de mecanismos europeus, de reformas da UE. É necessário que Portugal e os outros países em causa (Grécia, Irlanda, Espanha, Itália?) se aliem para exigir medidas que assegurem um apoio sustentável, como as e-bonds. É necessário também procurar diferentes formas de financiamento, quer a nível interno (títulos de dívida pública) quer a nível externo (outros países), quer mesmo junto da UE, com a alteração dos estatutos do BCE, de modo a garantir juros baixos para países necessitados. É necessário que se perceba que a situação actual se deve também a quem lucrou com os empréstimos até agora. Pode ser preciso tomar medidas unilaterais (de preferência em conjunto com Grécia, Irlanda, etc ) de não pagamento da dívida privada, de não pagamento de empréstimos a juros que impedem o crescimento (como a Islândia fez). Existem partidos que defendem a austeridade como saída, os empréstimos a taxas altas como inevitáveis. Existem partidos que defendem que outros caminhos são possíveis, com medidas como os aqui enumerados. É preciso escolher, é preciso falar.Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-28236200955198800282010-04-15T00:12:00.006+01:002010-04-15T00:25:39.597+01:00América, 2010<object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/S38VioxnBaI&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/S38VioxnBaI&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="385"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-3686774099567989062010-04-15T00:12:00.004+01:002010-04-15T00:24:17.388+01:00The Daily Show: Global Warming<table style="font:11px arial; color:#333; background-color:#f5f5f5" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="360" height="353"><tbody><tr style="background-color:#e5e5e5" valign="middle"><td style="padding:2px 1px 0px 5px;"><a target="_blank" style="color:#333; text-decoration:none; font-weight:bold;" href="http://www.thedailyshow.com/">The Daily Show With Jon Stewart</a></td><td style="padding:2px 5px 0px 5px; text-align:right; font-weight:bold;">Mon - Thurs 11p / 10c</td></tr><tr style="height:14px;" valign="middle"><td style="padding:2px 1px 0px 5px;" colspan="2"><a target="_blank" style="color:#333; text-decoration:none; font-weight:bold;" href="http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/wed-february-10-2010/unusually-large-snowstorm">Unusually Large Snowstorm</a><a></a></td></tr><tr style="height:14px; background-color:#353535" valign="middle"><td colspan="2" style="padding:2px 5px 0px 5px; width:360px; overflow:hidden; text-align:right"><a target="_blank" style="color:#96deff; text-decoration:none; font-weight:bold;" href="http://www.thedailyshow.com/">www.thedailyshow.com</a></td></tr><tr valign="middle"><td style="padding:0px;" colspan="2"><embed style="display:block" src="http://media.mtvnservices.com/mgid:cms:item:comedycentral.com:264247" width="360" height="301" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="window" allowfullscreen="true" flashvars="autoPlay=false" allowscriptaccess="always" allownetworking="all" bgcolor="#000000"></embed></td></tr><tr style="height:18px;" valign="middle"><td style="padding:0px;" colspan="2"><table style="margin:0px; text-align:center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" height="100%"><tbody><tr valign="middle"><td style="padding:3px; width:33%;"><a target="_blank" style="font:10px arial; color:#333; text-decoration:none;" href="http://www.thedailyshow.com/full-episodes/">Daily Show Full Episodes</a></td><td style="padding:3px; width:33%;"><a target="_blank" style="font:10px arial; color:#333; text-decoration:none;" href="http://www.indecisionforever.com/">Political Humor</a></td><td style="padding:3px; width:33%;"><a target="_blank" style="font:10px arial; color:#333; text-decoration:none;" href="http://www.thedailyshow.com/videos/tag/Tea+Party">Tea Party</a></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-23971574713400727972010-03-25T22:20:00.001+00:002010-03-25T22:22:15.883+00:00Hora do Planeta 2010<div><a href="http://www.wwf.pt/?190781/Porto-adere-de-forma-espectacular--Hora-do-Planeta-54-monumentos-s-escuras-em-sinal-de-apoio--iniciativa-da-WWF">Porto adere de forma espectacular à Hora do Planeta</a> </div><div><div>A cidade do Porto adere, pela primeira vez, à iniciativa da WWF, Hora do Planeta agendada para sábado, 27 de Março, 20H30 – 21h30, com uma lista espantosa de 54 monumentos que vão apagar as luzes em sinal de apoio à mensagem da Hora do Planeta contra as alterações climáticas.</div><div><br /></div></div><object width="640" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/FclcMfzjwug&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/FclcMfzjwug&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-38044158268889219762010-03-25T20:20:00.000+00:002010-03-25T22:22:04.975+00:00Obama Derangement Syndrome<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWwc0brzAqLTRay6-abgV4ZJQEcEy8W1aAks7coQ-8Lcq8K2fAwZWMEcnfP1Rb6bBUk_1wmVpOhD9kEgt-t2GAvF1BGrYsKORJ3ck-l35aOzJzMYm97DdZ6fqokO3UwXONieln/s1600/3913490592_72d5bb566f_o.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 300px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWwc0brzAqLTRay6-abgV4ZJQEcEy8W1aAks7coQ-8Lcq8K2fAwZWMEcnfP1Rb6bBUk_1wmVpOhD9kEgt-t2GAvF1BGrYsKORJ3ck-l35aOzJzMYm97DdZ6fqokO3UwXONieln/s400/3913490592_72d5bb566f_o.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5452692163929781570" /></a><a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/blogs-and-stories/2010-03-22/scary-new-gop-poll/">Obama Derangement Syndrome</a>: pathological hatred of the president posing as patriotism<div><br /></div><div><li nodeindex="1">67% of Republicans (and 40% of Americans overall) believe that Obama is a socialist. </li> <li nodeindex="1">57% of Republicans (32% overall) believe that Obama is a Muslim </li><li nodeindex="2">45% of Republicans (25% overall) agree with the Birthers in their belief that Obama was "not born in the United States and so is not eligible to be president" </li><li nodeindex="3">38% of Republicans (20% overall) say that Obama is "doing many of the things that Hitler did" </li><li nodeindex="4">24% of Republicans (14% overall) say that Obama "may be the Antichrist."</li></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-40097228885687687732010-03-18T20:26:00.003+00:002010-03-18T23:35:46.373+00:00Ou não?<div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/mar/11/americans-climate-change-threat"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;">Nearly half of Americans believe climate change threat is exaggerated</span></a> (guardian)</div><div>Public belief in climate science has seen a precipitous slide in the US, according to new polling that suggests fewer Americans are concerned about the threat posed by global warming.<br /></div><div><br /></div><div>Nearly half of Americans – 48% – now believe the threat of global warming has been exaggerated, the highest level since polling began 13 years ago, the poll published today by Gallup said.</div><div><br /></div><div>Half of Americans now believe there is a scientific consensus on climate change. Some 46% believe scientists are unsure about global warming, or that it is not occurring. A UK poll last month showed adults who believe climate change is "definitely" a reality had dropped from 44% to 31% over the past year</div><div><br /></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/feb/23/british-public-belief-climate-poll">Sharp decline in public's belief in climate threat, British poll reveals</a></span> (guardian)<br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div>Public conviction about the threat of climate change has declined sharply after months of questions over the science and growing disillusionment with government action, a leading British poll has found.</div><div><br /></div><div>The proportion of adults who believe climate change is "definitely" a reality dropped by 30% over the last year, from 44% to 31%, in the latest survey by Ipsos Mori.</div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-65908217476474709252010-03-18T20:12:00.002+00:002010-03-18T23:35:30.299+00:00Consenso climático?<div>fonte: <a href="http://infobeautiful.s3.amazonaws.com/climate_consensus_550.gif">informationisbeautiful.net</a></div><div><br /></div><div><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTeSjNYJBLDZ6i2vhbnLPXMOokLfwOguZBNBUhmzSC5tVLfMGaHxFyWhMjvY6vKAfAeq7BZ07iPy2KLExGIzHvGKSZ-d8LghO-y7c5uCwZUInt2p15jjTCzocLrZpgcjneYUny/s1600-h/climate_consensus_550.gif"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 300px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhTeSjNYJBLDZ6i2vhbnLPXMOokLfwOguZBNBUhmzSC5tVLfMGaHxFyWhMjvY6vKAfAeq7BZ07iPy2KLExGIzHvGKSZ-d8LghO-y7c5uCwZUInt2p15jjTCzocLrZpgcjneYUny/s400/climate_consensus_550.gif" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5441969821699008962" /></a></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-22720724471585562942009-12-19T02:20:00.000+00:002009-12-19T02:29:02.518+00:00COP15: the end<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7bwfEQPTiDJs-DQrtNMIjB0RaI2O4DfrDxNgeeDm9gQvTlcXundQS-D3QJoYZJfBE9ZwBhTpL_lwM1DTZyFoXYXhMkoJnqCNt5pY2xyudnM11-KW0DBPs81Hb3d3dJmuLP6Eu/s1600-h/the-little-mermaid-laments-the.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 267px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7bwfEQPTiDJs-DQrtNMIjB0RaI2O4DfrDxNgeeDm9gQvTlcXundQS-D3QJoYZJfBE9ZwBhTpL_lwM1DTZyFoXYXhMkoJnqCNt5pY2xyudnM11-KW0DBPs81Hb3d3dJmuLP6Eu/s400/the-little-mermaid-laments-the.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416759878800143410" /></a><br /><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/18/copenhagen-deal">Low targets, goals dropped: Copenhagen ends in failure</a><br />Deal thrashed out at talks condemned as climate change scepticism in action<br /><br />The UN climate summit reached a weak outline of a global agreement last night in Copenhagen, falling far short of what Britain and many poor countries were seeking and leaving months of tough negotiations to come.<br /><br />After eight draft texts and all-day talks between 115 world leaders, it was left to Barack Obama and Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, to broker a political agreement. The so-called Copenhagen accord "recognises" the scientific case for keeping temperature rises to no more than 2C but did not contain commitments to emissions reductions to achieve that goal.<br /><br />American officials spun the deal as a "meaningful agreement", but even Obama said: "This progress is not enough."<br /><br />But it disappointed African and other vulnerable countries who had been holding out for far deeper emission cuts to hold the global temperature rise to 1.5C this century. As widely expected, all references to 1.5C in previous drafts were removed at the last minute, but more surprisingly, the earlier 2050 goal of reducing global CO2 emissions by 80% was also dropped.<div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://weblog.greenpeace.org/climate/2009/12/world_leader_copout_leads_to_f.html">World leader cop-out leads to failure</a></div><div>It's a gut-busting, heart-breaking cop-out and I'm so very, very angry although sadly not very surprised. The exhaustion we're all feeling in the Greenpeace team only adds to the appalling sense of frustration - our leaders swanned in and let us all down. The deal isn't fair or ambitious and it certainly isn't legally binding. Even though the agreement, such as it is, has yet to be sealed, they have failed.</div><div><br /></div><div>I hoped it would be different but the skewed nature of international diplomacy has led the Copenhagen summit through two turbulent weeks into an exercise in arm-twisting and back-room deals. The bullying tactics of the developed countries have ensured they have got what they want, despite the attempts of some developing countries to stand their ground.</div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://www.greenpeace.org/international/news/copenhagen-wrap-up-191209">Copenhagen a cop-out</a></div><div>Two years has passed since world leaders promised all of us a deal to stop climate change. After two weeks of UN negotiations, politicians breezed in, had dinner with the Queen, a three hour lunch, took some photos and then delivered what could only be described as the 24 hour Head of State tourist brochure of Copenhagen instead of a climate treaty.</div><div><br /></div><div>Don’t believe the hype, there is nothing fair, ambitious or legally binding about this deal. The job of world leaders is not done. Today they shamefully failed to save us all from the effects of catastrophic climate change.</div><div><br /></div><div>The city of Copenhagen is a climate crime scene tonight, with the guilty men and women fleeing to the airport in shame. World leaders had a once in a generation chance to change the world for good, to avert catastrophic climate change. What we needed was a legally binding agreement that was fair to developing countries and ambitious when it came to emissions cuts and ending deforestation. In the end they produced a poor deal full of loopholes big enough to fly Air Force One through. We’ve seen a year of crises, but today it is clear that the biggest one facing humanity is a leadership crisis.</div></div></div><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/WhRlimRp3s8&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/WhRlimRp3s8&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-73356292171457405282009-12-19T02:11:00.001+00:002009-12-19T02:24:49.597+00:00Vigil For Survival<object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/2fJ_IejlBaw&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/2fJ_IejlBaw&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/D7dJbmaQyZ0&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/D7dJbmaQyZ0&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/36oLqHl1Zyg&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/36oLqHl1Zyg&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-3173967700264192992009-12-19T01:56:00.011+00:002009-12-19T02:11:08.704+00:00últimas fotos desde Copenhaga<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgv-1DxeTMh90_zRFs9oMg1XyjHXC6bZBg9qCWSibzWOlR0BnqCcKSht1XKmFXaiVhI5R4_pr6GrFE8U6-HqoEv07rIQr5k0pGgSSSH47Nl0itCgsWs7XcYczWO5mnR0KhFsUun/s1600-h/COP15-Greenpeace-members--002.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 302px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgv-1DxeTMh90_zRFs9oMg1XyjHXC6bZBg9qCWSibzWOlR0BnqCcKSht1XKmFXaiVhI5R4_pr6GrFE8U6-HqoEv07rIQr5k0pGgSSSH47Nl0itCgsWs7XcYczWO5mnR0KhFsUun/s400/COP15-Greenpeace-members--002.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763977597418050" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoFwiaq04MqHDW9awXY0g6Jbk4LtbM7SJxgNEyPvonXqqbIsVAEz_XfLJfNLu8V2y5VmgeyFlcLqSAdby5iW_o-uHi7_8hpfE7NmtCzanqRKtZs3VcOb6EKO1ZFcPuVs3y2a8P/s1600-h/COP15-US-President-Barack-007.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoFwiaq04MqHDW9awXY0g6Jbk4LtbM7SJxgNEyPvonXqqbIsVAEz_XfLJfNLu8V2y5VmgeyFlcLqSAdby5iW_o-uHi7_8hpfE7NmtCzanqRKtZs3VcOb6EKO1ZFcPuVs3y2a8P/s400/COP15-US-President-Barack-007.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763876532794194" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5etjFq_bu6oZo0rr4DoZlnEWWSJSgw_hDGQaO9HnQzMTSdr5-ee3coR6mXBYm_jUIeDHXc1K7i2LzSBrksY-rxAn_r4hxu4OJ6Ech7Q5ie3fYzXY_dxGs_x3p6vZBux-9ohN0/s1600-h/COP15--royal-gala-dinner--001.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5etjFq_bu6oZo0rr4DoZlnEWWSJSgw_hDGQaO9HnQzMTSdr5-ee3coR6mXBYm_jUIeDHXc1K7i2LzSBrksY-rxAn_r4hxu4OJ6Ech7Q5ie3fYzXY_dxGs_x3p6vZBux-9ohN0/s400/COP15--royal-gala-dinner--001.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763777676025186" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwd0Z1L2lGwqmm4QzL8MMn_M6vEdXzwBKm_UDOAcXnoA39kyXF8yNLIwTpj5CQDVi9yMl0_y5ihoTQFSF7xs5dOSuBn2YH-GhaLrf_LUI3Wid8tYdGSSONMyilDQvbo7A-gWs2/s1600-h/A-delegate-sleeps-in-the--001.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 259px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwd0Z1L2lGwqmm4QzL8MMn_M6vEdXzwBKm_UDOAcXnoA39kyXF8yNLIwTpj5CQDVi9yMl0_y5ihoTQFSF7xs5dOSuBn2YH-GhaLrf_LUI3Wid8tYdGSSONMyilDQvbo7A-gWs2/s400/A-delegate-sleeps-in-the--001.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763651285478146" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6PAac49jBdWQEbhbKqvsic_TvIGDiWJ3LL7J32z8Nam59vXgMKgyQwqD-yoIPzL4pxeZvKqEA12a-12DbhmRzHbD_Oeq44PfFY0Rz5qtW3637O8ulF7KRnpx9yTmL3USYGpZY/s1600-h/COp15-German-climate-acti-006.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6PAac49jBdWQEbhbKqvsic_TvIGDiWJ3LL7J32z8Nam59vXgMKgyQwqD-yoIPzL4pxeZvKqEA12a-12DbhmRzHbD_Oeq44PfFY0Rz5qtW3637O8ulF7KRnpx9yTmL3USYGpZY/s400/COp15-German-climate-acti-006.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763543533001138" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiyHHNynqj6DcpqD-sQQARLujYnJQP-0TG4klNkPvOO2sRNIfcp0aRHnZEceZ7BsnLt_qhxS1SdvlZfNCzBY5qsa3sWBF2Ff-I-ou9PJ0RxF1QrGSiGx6QBgeQasrof8FqtCEhp/s1600-h/COP15-Pool--019.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 300px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiyHHNynqj6DcpqD-sQQARLujYnJQP-0TG4klNkPvOO2sRNIfcp0aRHnZEceZ7BsnLt_qhxS1SdvlZfNCzBY5qsa3sWBF2Ff-I-ou9PJ0RxF1QrGSiGx6QBgeQasrof8FqtCEhp/s400/COP15-Pool--019.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763444865832178" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9Z69x1F5BqT43x40AozlqSgOStpJz-JsMBqKGO6SmDPR8rhBBye-LwieIghjARUyoyg4Q0fVQ9zZcz7o2CcLD6tLkRYVSjuiRVahAZbbORZa8Ln8DZu9X0GsTuHpxWeGEcHdk/s1600-h/COP15-Pool--011.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 267px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9Z69x1F5BqT43x40AozlqSgOStpJz-JsMBqKGO6SmDPR8rhBBye-LwieIghjARUyoyg4Q0fVQ9zZcz7o2CcLD6tLkRYVSjuiRVahAZbbORZa8Ln8DZu9X0GsTuHpxWeGEcHdk/s400/COP15-Pool--011.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416763361333246402" /></a><br />galeria do guardian:<br /><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/17/copenhagen-pictures-day-11">dia 11</a><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/18/copenhagen-climate-change">último dia</a></div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/18/copenhagen-climate-change-flickr">user photos (flickr)</a></div><div><br /></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-68563730783176707402009-12-17T21:46:00.001+00:002009-12-17T21:46:47.577+00:00The World Wants a Real Deal<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/fkOuXjf87DI&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/fkOuXjf87DI&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-26677509589988423432009-12-17T21:07:00.002+00:002009-12-17T21:10:50.743+00:00550 ppm?<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYcT-4vNV6nbal-VmeW3EknS1Trz6FLjm46S_4f4bwgqdJ8cYBMjN4eSimsAAuANEzua5aCOPb__HCC-EiUHupZe17IFRUcX02tLyVPNkHir3_yYE_BPWjM7uT6czXTkmpW4pd/s1600-h/cop15-graph-resized.png"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 283px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYcT-4vNV6nbal-VmeW3EknS1Trz6FLjm46S_4f4bwgqdJ8cYBMjN4eSimsAAuANEzua5aCOPb__HCC-EiUHupZe17IFRUcX02tLyVPNkHir3_yYE_BPWjM7uT6czXTkmpW4pd/s400/cop15-graph-resized.png" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416315554111372642" /></a><br /><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cif-green/2009/dec/17/copenhagen-no-deal-better-catastrophe">Better to have no deal at Copenhagen than one that spells catastrophe</a></div><div>by Naomi Klein</div><div><br /></div><div>On the ninth day of the Copenhagen climate summit, Africa was sacrificed. The position of the G77 negotiating bloc, including African states, had been clear: a 2C increase in average global temperatures translates into a 3–3.5C increase in Africa. That means, according to the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance, "an additional 55 million people could be at risk from hunger", and "water stress could affect between 350 and 600 million more people".</div><div><br /></div><div>Archbishop Desmond Tutu puts it like this: "We are facing impending disaster on a monstrous scale … A global goal of about 2C is to condemn Africa to incineration and no modern development."</div><div><br /></div><div>At the start of these negotiations the mere notion of delay was environmental heresy. But now many are seeing the value of slowing down and getting it right. Most significant, after describing what 2C would mean for Africa, Archbishop Tutu pronounced that it is "better to have no deal than to have a bad deal". That may well be the best we can hope for in Copenhagen. It would be a political disaster for some heads of state – but it could be one last chance to avert the real disaster for everyone else.</div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-29619744477233816282009-12-17T20:55:00.003+00:002009-12-17T21:07:00.170+00:003ºC<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCbWyS8GE69tFudDgsUq7Wp3HZIsQuIeEt1GeEBJAn4PIot8UdFZ-j2Tl0QyzU7czp_gXdUC9oYRN0rijrVQ0Qk0umSyhBbYWSx8hhe9mF02WFclckcZurLsJmAtZhkySBp2r_/s1600-h/maldivas.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 290px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCbWyS8GE69tFudDgsUq7Wp3HZIsQuIeEt1GeEBJAn4PIot8UdFZ-j2Tl0QyzU7czp_gXdUC9oYRN0rijrVQ0Qk0umSyhBbYWSx8hhe9mF02WFclckcZurLsJmAtZhkySBp2r_/s400/maldivas.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416314018041745314" /></a><br /><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/17/un-leaked-report-copenhagen-3c">Leaked UN report shows cuts offered at Copenhagen would lead to 3C rise</a></div><div>UN secretariat initial draft shows gap of up to 4.2 gigatonnes of CO2 between present pledges and cuts required to limit rise to 2C</div><div><br /></div><div>A confidential UN analysis obtained by the Guardian reveals that the emissions cuts offered so far at the Copenhagen climate change summit will lead to global temperatures rising by an average of 3C.</div><div><br /></div><div>The analysis seriously undermines the statements by governments that they are aiming to limit emissions to a level ensuring no more than a 2C temperature rise over the next century, and indicates that the last 24 hours of negotiations will be extremely challenging.</div><div><br /></div><div>A rise of 3C would mean up to 170 million more people suffering severe coastal floods and 550 million more at risk of hunger, according to the 2006 Stern economic review of climate change for the UK government - as well as leaving up to 50% of species facing extinction. Even a rise of 2C would lead to sharp decline in tropical crop yields, more flooding and droughts.</div><div><br /></div><div>Greenpeace campaigner Joss Garman said: "This is an explosive document that shows the numbers on the table at the moment would lead to nothing less than climate breakdown and an extraordinarily dangerous situation for humanity. The UN is admitting in private that the pledges made by world leaders would lead to a 3C rise in temperatures. The science shows that could lead to the collapse of the Amazon rainforest, crippling water shortages across South America and Australia and the near-extinction of tropical coral reefs, and that's just the start of it."</div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://www.350.org/leak">BREAKING: Leaked UN Climate Text Confirms What We've Been Saying</a> (AKA The Real ClimateGate)</div><div><br /></div><div>A leaked copy of an official UN assessment just emerged from the talks--it says quite clearly that the proposals now on the table will yield temperature increases of at least 3 degrees Celsius. This is what the Climate Interactive folks have been saying all along, news that's been reflected on the front of our website. But now the UN is saying it, and they're adding--in one of the classic examples of bureaucratic understatement of all time, that the estimated temperature rise of 3 degrees “will reduce significantly the probability to stay within a temperature increase of 2 degrees Celsius.” You think?</div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/12/17/heat-over-a-leaked-un-warming-analysis/">Heat Over a Leaked U.N. Warming Analysis</a></div><div>The analysis concluded that without much stronger action to cut emissions both before and after 2020, “global emissions will remain on an unsustainable pathway that could lead to concentrations equal or above 550 p.p.m. [parts per million of carbon dioxide in the air] with the related temperature” rising 3 degrees Celsius, or 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit. That is far above the thresholds for dangerous warming being debated at the meeting and accepted in recent statements by the major economies of the world.</div></div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-52675603458054570152009-12-17T12:53:00.002+00:002009-12-17T12:57:14.865+00:0017 Dezembro 2009<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH_YT6HbHnGXfD6AgnXPcHu8yr73NDFONyitxsvM_uyNhCTzoyuSAejldHtAr0nk41YMBy-sxwa5cCsL1pj7gkTvndF4TqahyphenhyphenE_-3QagnyANconM1TGpjTZEcP90h9MYj2GEKi/s1600-h/n227106867068_8850.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 200px; height: 233px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH_YT6HbHnGXfD6AgnXPcHu8yr73NDFONyitxsvM_uyNhCTzoyuSAejldHtAr0nk41YMBy-sxwa5cCsL1pj7gkTvndF4TqahyphenhyphenE_-3QagnyANconM1TGpjTZEcP90h9MYj2GEKi/s400/n227106867068_8850.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416188235799110930" /></a><br /><div><a href="http://www.climatejusticefast.com/">Climate Justice Fast</a></div><div><a href="http://www.blogger.com/www.350.org/fast">350.org</a></div><div><a href="http://avaaz.org/en/climate_justice_fast/">avaaz.org</a></div><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/-jMXJ7jsj-4&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/-jMXJ7jsj-4&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-55995446527358978012009-12-17T12:30:00.000+00:002009-12-17T12:53:29.773+00:00COP15: 36 hours left<div><a href="http://www.publico.clix.pt/Mundo/um-dia-para-esquecer-na-cimeira-do-clima_1414262">Um dia para esquecer na cimeira do clima</a> </div><div>Negociações estão praticamente paradas - 16/12/2009</div><div><br /></div><div>Foi um dia para esquecer em Copenhaga. Um dia praticamente perdido, quando faltam apenas 48 horas para o fim da conferência da ONU que deverá definir o próximo passo internacional contra as alterações climáticas. Ao princípio da noite, as negociações estavam praticamente paradas, em consequência de entraves levantados ao longo do dia.</div><div><br /></div><div>Logo de manhã, as notícias já não eram boas. Representantes de 192 países tinham estado reunidos a noite toda para tentar desbloquear os principais pontos de conflito para decisões centrais em Copenhaga. Mas sem resultado. Nada estava decidido sobre o essencial: novas metas de redução de emissões de CO2 para os países desenvolvidos, acções para limitar o crescimento de emissões dos países em desenvolvimento, financiamento às nações mais pobres, o futuro do Protocolo de Quioto.</div><div><br /></div><div>Sem avanços, a presidente da conferência, a dinamarquesa Connie Hedegaard, tentou dar um passo à frente e anunciou que proporia novos textos para serem discutidos. Ao invés de progresso, a iniciativa resultou em bloqueio.</div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/global/blog/2009/dec/17/copenhagen-climate-change-conference-live">Copenhagen climate change summit - live blog</a></div><div>A succession of world leaders, including Gordon Brown, are due to address the summit today as troubled negotiations for a climate deal are on the brink of collapse. Meanwhile, angry activists outside the conference venue ponder their next move - <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/global/blog/2009/dec/17/copenhagen-climate-change-conference-live">Follow live updates</a></div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-7634876256722640742009-12-17T01:30:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:36:56.324+00:00Galeria fotos COP15<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAHqorYSJESPcpYQpjiTLf3Ii84YUhPVqPp1-YJ3Uoey6cZFUBDk5hwDpaeQuD2HLv4UiSzQmOrA8_MSHOBNzQgAAr1ZmpR9ZS6pDeJ6ydooE-_sSNhjSmbv30zeN1iaiwcVjQ/s1600-h/COP15-Police-officers-sta-002.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAHqorYSJESPcpYQpjiTLf3Ii84YUhPVqPp1-YJ3Uoey6cZFUBDk5hwDpaeQuD2HLv4UiSzQmOrA8_MSHOBNzQgAAr1ZmpR9ZS6pDeJ6ydooE-_sSNhjSmbv30zeN1iaiwcVjQ/s400/COP15-Police-officers-sta-002.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012977273929506" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikd-Rpnt7fbEv_Yxfu0-2dqXQLbXaGaK5GFA0Y5Akti0eOHNFOVkNIxgQFTDbdFqd8E834WkfIFu_pNbrjeMyy8qlLKTpvymgEIIGdt2e9beYsaYYpvOmozYT0ultZQ9zTEmYl/s1600-h/COP15-Danish-riot-police--011.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikd-Rpnt7fbEv_Yxfu0-2dqXQLbXaGaK5GFA0Y5Akti0eOHNFOVkNIxgQFTDbdFqd8E834WkfIFu_pNbrjeMyy8qlLKTpvymgEIIGdt2e9beYsaYYpvOmozYT0ultZQ9zTEmYl/s400/COP15-Danish-riot-police--011.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012911568617106" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlw1My0jAnOXL5y7iK7ZMgE8VAGxfgD-J_RXXvttKOkcI3_TilNq-Vn0tP6oHgIgyuJ_irjpF-a9P-AAF8O9F2QpU0Zcj0U7JZ2qMwlAc39zW_kL-rkx3321iqV-X6Ayo4rVHu/s1600-h/A-Danish-riot-policeman-b-018.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlw1My0jAnOXL5y7iK7ZMgE8VAGxfgD-J_RXXvttKOkcI3_TilNq-Vn0tP6oHgIgyuJ_irjpF-a9P-AAF8O9F2QpU0Zcj0U7JZ2qMwlAc39zW_kL-rkx3321iqV-X6Ayo4rVHu/s400/A-Danish-riot-policeman-b-018.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012839666079186" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJMyaqHC2EHysSCKY9bjT1YwzovfHnxFVN103ZvBhYgn78eTHl5i3OTt6-SPjN2ZuJkfdRrd7iIcaRp6khTvRbgVtSvotenhNKOL8jw1v3lKgsTE4wDvKHA9Y0aeBnfpf8yTv9/s1600-h/An-activist-is-arreststed-007.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 289px; height: 400px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJMyaqHC2EHysSCKY9bjT1YwzovfHnxFVN103ZvBhYgn78eTHl5i3OTt6-SPjN2ZuJkfdRrd7iIcaRp6khTvRbgVtSvotenhNKOL8jw1v3lKgsTE4wDvKHA9Y0aeBnfpf8yTv9/s400/An-activist-is-arreststed-007.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012700228346866" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCOyaxwv13LnA68niXJnRTo6Py1vmzFq4cYRZbHg4N7gDdvxntTfuge4bwuvq6H-UOapl1OmQdkQ2up6vZa-rM5LswpfDJGwU1LdqobETTViGjXobuc3rJQd9Q3moKPajwjxYN/s1600-h/COP15-A-demonstrator-rece-004.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCOyaxwv13LnA68niXJnRTo6Py1vmzFq4cYRZbHg4N7gDdvxntTfuge4bwuvq6H-UOapl1OmQdkQ2up6vZa-rM5LswpfDJGwU1LdqobETTViGjXobuc3rJQd9Q3moKPajwjxYN/s400/COP15-A-demonstrator-rece-004.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012619441532754" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnl7mEuRCwDb7Yb8YeaYsGwot3HvskLaLRCDnxK095odrrQMvZ6IzQ7cstJD70x7c6u7qYtp_4Zksuqnua1QalBUgLjb0vluxkk0HHfmoMcit4hK2CFusiXnLTa81TnPZ2w6bZ/s1600-h/COP15--Danish-riot-police-014.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnl7mEuRCwDb7Yb8YeaYsGwot3HvskLaLRCDnxK095odrrQMvZ6IzQ7cstJD70x7c6u7qYtp_4Zksuqnua1QalBUgLjb0vluxkk0HHfmoMcit4hK2CFusiXnLTa81TnPZ2w6bZ/s400/COP15--Danish-riot-police-014.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012538024439762" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-YgZP4g-q1psvB5y-UjzYwZaO06lfaj00InGQo6Jl5Z-vZxPIgCIv45-wlV4fgYeGSa03VZpyW0J05MGFhWnjnCA6j1OB_ZaYy0LCA9PXC7P8eJ56WUZHpsPPSW_3HK1lfP0d/s1600-h/A-police-officer-sprays-p-002.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-YgZP4g-q1psvB5y-UjzYwZaO06lfaj00InGQo6Jl5Z-vZxPIgCIv45-wlV4fgYeGSa03VZpyW0J05MGFhWnjnCA6j1OB_ZaYy0LCA9PXC7P8eJ56WUZHpsPPSW_3HK1lfP0d/s400/A-police-officer-sprays-p-002.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012453883303186" /></a><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBnO31mNCKupECV0YvohMccadEqTSNXpxtsqZFA1oYmZrjPSzouq826odSfzTH4mGSPHNBAWIbyLjgF7Ylwd9KUs4yX9urM83K4oHY6L_BAwjxxetKP6M0bPtiVAawJTZk9_qI/s1600-h/Danish-police-police-beat-001.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBnO31mNCKupECV0YvohMccadEqTSNXpxtsqZFA1oYmZrjPSzouq826odSfzTH4mGSPHNBAWIbyLjgF7Ylwd9KUs4yX9urM83K4oHY6L_BAwjxxetKP6M0bPtiVAawJTZk9_qI/s400/Danish-police-police-beat-001.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416012340574695938" /></a><br />do guardian<div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/14/copenhagen-climate-change">dia 8</a></div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/15/copenhagen-pictures-day-nine">dia 9</a></div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/16/copenhagen-pictures-day-10">dia 10</a></div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/gallery/2009/dec/16/reclaim-power-march-copenhagen">Manifestação Reclaim Power</a></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-80154064160043332972009-12-17T00:50:00.001+00:002009-12-17T12:10:41.946+00:0016 Dez: Reclaim the Power<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiacX2KcEbSdX9OO0Xrp-HTv6r9fg4ocbgX1yUcI6xpvpXHuybV0A2Zgna1mes4UH2pXzYJCXBX5J-lbDTCmYzQ0J5bUSBHvLfgqY44MG1rFx8tZuLFABK_sSvoYmtpfrEuJzuH/s1600-h/A-protester-shouts-at-pol-014.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiacX2KcEbSdX9OO0Xrp-HTv6r9fg4ocbgX1yUcI6xpvpXHuybV0A2Zgna1mes4UH2pXzYJCXBX5J-lbDTCmYzQ0J5bUSBHvLfgqY44MG1rFx8tZuLFABK_sSvoYmtpfrEuJzuH/s400/A-protester-shouts-at-pol-014.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416008411022440882" /></a><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/video/2009/dec/17/copenhagen-climate-change">video guardian</a><div><br /><div><div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/16/copenhagen-protest">Copenhagen day of mass protest passes without major incident</a></div><div>Danish police arrest 260 people after a day of mass protest where 4,000 campaigners marched on the Bella centre and activists inside staged a noisy walkout</div><div><br /></div><div>Protests involving thousands of people today inside and outside the Bella conference centre hosting UN climate talks in Copenhagen have passed off without major incident.</div><div><br /></div><div>About 4,000 campaigners marched on the Bella centre in an attempt to stage a "people's assembly" inside the summit, but were stopped by police. At least 260 protesters have been detained following clashes outside the Bella centre, said the Danish police spokesman, Per Larsen.</div><div><br /></div><div>Tim Jones, policy officer for anti-poverty campaigners the World Development Movement, said: "Today thousands of people sought to create a people's assembly to get voices heard offering real solutions to the climate crisis. The people's assembly was stopped by police who committed unprovoked violence on both protesters and official delegates to the UN negotiations.</div></div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/16/copenhagen-arrests">Danish police arrest 230 activists as world leaders arrive in Copenhagen</a></div><div>Security measures stepped up around city as thousands of demonstrators set off for mass invasion of Bella centre<br /></div><div><br /></div><div>Danish police today arrested 230 people at various points around Copenhagen, where world leaders and officials are meeting for UN climate talks.</div><div><br /></div><div>The news came as thousands of protesters set out in Copenhagen this morning in a bid to take over the conference centre where the talks are taking place. The organisers of the mass "Reclaim Power" march, the Climate Justice Action and Climate Justice Now! (CJN) networks of campaigners, said they hope to enter the Bella centre today, where NGOs and activist groups were struggling to gain entry this morning, to hold a "people's assembly" in protest at the direction the talks are taking.</div><div><br /></div><div>In the bitter cold outside the Bella centre where the conference is being held, a group of around 60 people including indigenous groups, mainstream environment groups and journalist and activist Naomi Klein were protesting about NGOs being excluded from the conference centre. They had been met by police who warned that they may be arrested, although there has not been any violence. Klein said of the handling of the protests that, "Denmark is losing its reputation for being a good world citizen."</div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2009/12/16/copenhagen-hundreds-arrested-in-protest-police-brutality-pressure-builds-inside-the-conference/">Copenhagen: Hundreds Arrested in Protest; Police Brutality; Pressure Builds Inside the Conference</a></div><div>These are shocking images of police brutality from outside the Bella Center where the UN climate talks seem to be fracturing just hours before over 100 heads of state are scheduled to arrive to debate a climate deal. It’s all the more striking to see the faces of some of our friends and co-workers in this <a href="http://us.cnn.com/video/?/video/world/2009/12/16/vo.cop.denmark.protests.cnn">video from CNN (it can’t embed, but please do watch, it is striking footage)</a><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><a href="http://www.climate-justice-action.org/news/2009/12/15/chaos-inside-the-un-summit-random-arrests-and-raids-outside">Chaos inside the UN summit, random arrests and raids outside</a></div><div>The Danish police have escalated their attempts to criminalise and harass activists from the group Climate Justice Action in tactics described as “desperate and self-interested.”</div><div><br /></div><div>The group is an international coalition of grass-roots organisations, representing the voices of those marginalised from the UN process from the start of these negotiations, including indigenous rights activists, farmers movements and environmentalists. </div><div><br /></div></div></div><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/5sDX_pD_m30&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/5sDX_pD_m30&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><br /><object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/SdkuOzvT4cY&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/SdkuOzvT4cY&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object><br /><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/Gz_YYFN45mM&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/Gz_YYFN45mM&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object></div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-16524981201767661132009-12-17T00:40:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:18:13.988+00:0016 Dez: inside Bella Center<div><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/16/friends-of-the-earth-barred-bella-centre">Friends of the Earth among activists barred from Copenhagen conference centre</a><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div>Security intensifies ahead of mass action to invade summit as 115 world leaders arrive for high-level talks</div><div><br /></div><div>Friends of the Earth international, Avaaz, TckTckTck and other mainstream environment coalition groups were refused entry to the Copenhagen conference centre this morning, without being given any reason.</div><div><br /></div><div>The Bella centre is the focal point for climate activists who are aiming to invade the summit today. Around the city, some 150 arrests have been made this morning as part of an intensification of security to keep the lid on actions in the conference centre as the first of 115 world leaders arrives in Copenhagen amid the major protests.</div><div><br /></div><div>In a separate development, hundreds of non-government groups are to be individually banned from the centre or have their numbers slashed from tomorrow to make way for world leaders. Only 1,000 people from civil society will be allowed in to the conference hall tomorrow, and 90 on Friday.</div><div><br /></div></div><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/BxrNgNlyhQo&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/BxrNgNlyhQo&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/UxmBoSCL1xg&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/UxmBoSCL1xg&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/AqaphsXQzOU&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/AqaphsXQzOU&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object><br /><br /><object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/5Hbg9qSMzfc&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/5Hbg9qSMzfc&hl=en_US&fs=1&rel=0&color1=0x3a3a3a&color2=0x999999&hd=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="560" height="340"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-5145269924713805442009-12-17T00:30:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:17:50.377+00:00Democracy Now: cobertura Reclaim the Power<a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/16/climate_crackdown_un_bars_friends_of">video democracy now</a><div><div>Climate Crackdown: UN Bars Friends of the Earth and Other Environmental Groups from Climate Talks</div><div><br /></div><div>The crackdown around the UN climate talks in Copenhagen is intensifying. Earlier today the United Nations suspended several mainstream environmental groups and barred members from re-entering the conference. Organizations targeted include Friends of the Earth, Tck Tck Tck, Avaaz, World Vision and Via Campesina. Democracy Now! caught up with Nnimmo Bassey, the prominent Nigerian environmentalist, just as he was being removed by security from the conference.</div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/16/police_tear_gas_beat_back_protesters">video democracy now</a></div><div><div>Police Pepper Spray, Arrest Protesters Marching on UN Climate Summit as Hundreds Inside Stage Walkout</div><div><br /></div><div>In Copenhagen, thousands of protesters marched toward the UN climate summit on Wednesday with the stated goal of transforming the talks into a People’s Assembly and to call for climate justice. Police made over 200 arrests. Meanwhile, inside the Bella Center, hundreds of people staged a walkout to try and meet the marchers outside but were met with a heavy police response.</div></div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-43879603824730289922009-12-17T00:21:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:17:31.112+00:00COP15: os últimos dias<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1PEfLgM12n81_1HykGNzxrdqvrIn6NlFMR5m2TcuO_AliW7aGjpTg53w3oKQtXDtOinA9-5nmsx_aUNJ7_e48XHqys_luu18zNvPRWoS-mpDZNPr1xpl6BfvzZGFX2-RjCiT1/s1600-h/Protestors-march-towards--012.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 248px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1PEfLgM12n81_1HykGNzxrdqvrIn6NlFMR5m2TcuO_AliW7aGjpTg53w3oKQtXDtOinA9-5nmsx_aUNJ7_e48XHqys_luu18zNvPRWoS-mpDZNPr1xpl6BfvzZGFX2-RjCiT1/s400/Protestors-march-towards--012.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5416007456099309810" /></a><br /><a href="http://weblog.greenpeace.org/climate/2009/12/update3_days_left_1.html">http://weblog.greenpeace.org/climate/2009/12/update3_days_left_1.html</a><div><br /></div><div><div>Actually, not everybody has the same cards. The Least Developed Countries, the poorest of the poor, and the Association of Small Island States, also mostly poor, have less cards to play than the rich industrialized countries. They also cheat less to be honest. Their emissions are so small they can offer little in the way of mitigation. They come asking for help to adapt as weather patterns change, storms grow and seas rise. They are being offered a tiny fraction of what economists say they will need. It might even be the only card they have to play is to pack up and leave, refusing to sign on to a national suicide pact. </div><div><br /></div><div>To gain some influence in the talks, they are aligned with a large group of developing countries that goes by the name of the G77. Other than the poorest countries, this group includes what have become known as the BASIC countries. Those letters (kind of) stand for the names of the biggest of the emerging economies: Brazil, South Africa, India and China. These countries have emissions profiles that are distinctive for a combination of four factors. They represent a significant portion of current global emissions and a large portion of future emissions growth, but they do not represent a significant proportion of historic emissions and their per capita emissions levels are far below the developed world. Each of these countries has made significant pledges to slow the growth of their emissions, but refuse to set absolute limits on growth for economies that includes hundreds of millions of people that still live below income levels of two dollars per day.</div><div><br /></div><div>There is one last block of G77 countries. They are largely oil producers led by Saudi Arabia. For the most part, they are here to stop anything from happening to the oil industry.</div><div><br /></div><div>First among developed countries is the European Union. The EU is perhaps the most transparent group here. But their pledge of 20% reduction from 1990 levels is not what it seems. The EU moves as a bloc of countries and includes Eastern European countries that had high post-Soviet emissions in 1990. Many of those countries are significantly below those levels now, allowing other EU countries higher emissions while still claiming overall reductions.</div><div><br /></div><div>After the EU, comes a group of developed countries called the Umbrella Group, including Japan, Russia, Canada, Australia. These countries are a mixed bag. Canada is horrible and claims it is horrible because the U.S. is horrible. Russia is sitting on a load of hot air. That is the term for the emissions credits based on those higher 1990 levels that I talked about earlier. Russia can claim to reduce emissions about 40% below 1990 levels while nonetheless actually increasing emissions and selling that hot air to polluting countries. </div><div><br /></div><div>This brings me to the U.S. We are now proposing to reduce emissions a miserable 3-4% below 1990 levels. We have put no solid financing numbers on the table to help developing countries mitigate their emissions or adapt to the climate problem we helped create.</div><div><br /></div><div>So it is easy to see why I say there is almost no reason to be encouraged. ALMOST no reason. Let me point out the cracks of light. First, other than the elites that run the show here, the world largely supports strong action on an international climate deal. The hundred thousand or so in the streets here on Saturday were just one example.</div><div><br /></div><div>President Obama could come here and unlock a deal that is fair, ambitious and legally binding. He could instruct negotiators to stop creating loopholes and blocking honest progress. He could commit to go beyond the weak levels proposed in the current bills before Congress. He could pledge to raise funds to help the world’s most vulnerable adapt to a problem that was created by our American lifestyles of consumption. He could sign up to a deal that has real consequences for the failure to meet commitments.</div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-69989271642211914462009-12-17T00:20:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:10:47.351+00:00Blame Canada<div><a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/15/indigenous_peoples_of_canada_march_on">video democracy now</a></div><div><br /></div><div>Indigenous Peoples of Canada March on Canadian Embassy in Copenhagen to Protest Tar Sands</div><div><br /></div><div>Canada is the largest supplier of oil to the United States, and most of it comes from the Alberta tar sands. Described as the world’s biggest single industrial source of carbon emissions, the tar sands have drawn widespread protest and civil disobedience from environmentalists. On Tuesday, as climate delegates met across town at the Bella Center, a protest led by indigenous peoples of Canada was held outside the Canadian embassy.</div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-82244786642060580602009-12-17T00:12:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:10:32.518+00:00Bill McKibben da 350.org<a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/14/were_trying_to_provide_the_armies">video democracy now</a><div><br /></div><div><div>“We’re Trying to Provide the Armies that They Lack”–Bill McKibben on Supporting Poor, Vulnerable Nations with Mass Protest Movements.</div><div><br /></div><div>On Saturday, 100,000 people marched in Copenhagen from the Danish Parliament to just outside the Bella Center, the site of the UN climate change conference. Over 3,000 solidarity events were held around the world. </div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-78796502943324085882009-12-17T00:10:00.000+00:002009-12-17T01:10:13.668+00:00Using Controversial Law, Danish Police Preemptively Arrest Over 1,000 Protesters<a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/14/using_controversial_law_danish_police_preemptively">video democracy now</a><div><br /></div><div>Saturday’s protest in Copenhagen was overwhelmingly peaceful, but there were isolated incidents of targeted property destruction. To the shock of many, Danish police made nearly 1,000 arrests. Hundreds of handcuffed protesters were held for hours lined up on the cold street. Under a newly passed law, Danish police can preemptively arrest and detain anyone for up to twelve hours who they believe is likely to break the law in the near future.<br /></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-46348142165643858562009-12-16T23:02:00.002+00:002009-12-16T23:04:07.771+00:0017 dezembro: Climate Justice Fast<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaiz-dVoScuPgX3FRfLpwXpWmNmAyAvhFqB6KoOpMiQ8lyrVT89_toY_RffqY4n4uSjCRrvfV2_wMChSfqDNtFLxIrFj34Lar0vBk6Kg7UEKI3KQeOOLIcWnBi3ROWRXUT6YHd/s1600-h/resized_1463_climate+justice.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 370px; height: 235px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaiz-dVoScuPgX3FRfLpwXpWmNmAyAvhFqB6KoOpMiQ8lyrVT89_toY_RffqY4n4uSjCRrvfV2_wMChSfqDNtFLxIrFj34Lar0vBk6Kg7UEKI3KQeOOLIcWnBi3ROWRXUT6YHd/s400/resized_1463_climate+justice.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5415973643875870450" /></a><br /><a href="http://avaaz.org/en/climate_justice_fast/">http://avaaz.org/en/climate_justice_fast/</a><div><br /></div><div><div>As the climate talks in Copenhagen reach their climax, the time has come to add a new element to the political pressure and intellectual arguments: Moral force. Leaders arriving in Copenhagen now face a decision about whether to do what is right.</div><div><br /></div><div>Thousands of young people in Copenhagen will be fasting on Thursday--inspired by three who have fasted, under appropriate medical supervision, for 42 days. By joining the fast, and communicating its message to politicians and our communities, we can send a signal that we as humanity are united across borders, and ready for change--rising above short-sighted interests for a fair and just world for all. </div></div>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27499616.post-57028403562130362672009-12-14T21:05:00.003+00:002009-12-14T21:53:50.313+00:00The world wants a real deal<object width="400" height="300"> <param name="flashvars" value="offsite=true&lang=en-us&page_show_url=%2Fphotos%2Frealdeal09%2Fsets%2F72157622851602897%2Fshow%2F&page_show_back_url=%2Fphotos%2Frealdeal09%2Fsets%2F72157622851602897%2F&set_id=72157622851602897&jump_to="> <param name="movie" value="http://www.flickr.com/apps/slideshow/show.swf?v=71649"> <param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.flickr.com/apps/slideshow/show.swf?v=71649" allowfullscreen="true" flashvars="offsite=true&lang=en-us&page_show_url=%2Fphotos%2Frealdeal09%2Fsets%2F72157622851602897%2Fshow%2F&page_show_back_url=%2Fphotos%2Frealdeal09%2Fsets%2F72157622851602897%2F&set_id=72157622851602897&jump_to=" width="400" height="300"></embed></object>Joao Araujohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15030293173296651172noreply@blogger.com0